Our proprietary Manalo Merger Database, together with more than 25 dedicated M&A datasets, captures decades of public M&A activity across major markets and enables us to benchmark any live deal against thousands of relevant precedents. It consolidates deal structure, takeover premiums, risk-arbitrage spread behaviour, regulatory and approval pathways, shareholder voting outcomes, litigation, financing terms and closing timelines, so we can identify the patterns that tend to drive outcomes and explain what typically happens in transactions with similar profiles.
Each record tracks announcement and completion dates, changes to outside dates, termination fees, go shop windows, MAC language, remedy packages, and key regulatory steps such as HSR second requests, EC reviews, UK CMA phases, foreign investment and security reviews, and where relevant the EU FSR. We also record tender acceptance levels, scheme vote margins, and how the spread moved from announcement to close or break, including the break price on lapse.
The database includes country specific back end processes and valuation metrics. We maintain timelines and pricing references for German domination agreements and squeeze out processes, Cayman Section 238 appraisal cases, and Japanese appraisal rights. These details help us set realistic paths and recovery values when a bid moves into compulsory acquisition, appraisal or litigation.
In practice, we use the merger database to answer evidence based questions. How long comparable deals have taken? What premium cleared in similar sectors and jurisdictions? How often regulators required remedies and what kind? How spreads behaved when a second request arrived or when a rival bidder appeared? The findings feed directly into our probability weighted scenarios, break price ranges and catalyst calendars, so the output is grounded in precedent rather than guesswork.
The merger database is updated from filings and announcements, and covers North America, Europe, Asia Pacific and other active markets and is integrated into our modelling, which means every one of our research reports on a live transaction reflects the most relevant recent history.
If you are a qualified investor and would like to know more about our merger database, please get in touch.